“Attached is the most recent publication where impacts from climate change were studied for the Tonle Sap and the Delta. As you’ll read, Kaisa and others found that impacts from sea level rise will be much more relevant for the Delta than for the Tonle Sap. It appears that changes in the Mekong Basin hydrology will cause a considerably larger impact than sea level rise on the Tonle Sap.
As far as the sea elevation datum, all MRC and WUP-FIN reports have used the elevation at Hatien, Vietnam. The most recent geographic projection that I’ve been using is WGS 1984 UTM zone 48N.”
Restoration of historical hydrological data of Tonle Sap Lake and its surrounding areas
- Hironori Inomata,
- Kazuhiko Fukami
Article first published online: 18 FEB 2008
Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Special Issue: Studies on the Mekong River Basin – Modelling of Hydrology and Water Resources
Volume 22, Issue 9, pages 1337–1350, 30 April 2008
- hydrological data;
- restoration of past hydrological data;
- multiple regression analysis;
- H–Q equation;
- H–V relation
Tonle Sap Lake (TSL) is the largest freshwater lake on the Indochina Peninsula. It was only recently that hydrological data needed for understanding the hydrological characteristics of TSL and surrounding areas became available. In this study, historical hydrologic data from 1982 to 2004 at main observation stations at and near TSL (Phnom Penh Port, Prek Kdam and Kompong Luong) were restored by the continuous observed water data at Kompong Cham and time-series changes of TSL and its surrounding areas were analysed. The following approaches were taken in this study:
A method for estimating following main water budget items for TSL and surrounding areas was developed. This estimation method, based on routinely available hydrologic data only in TSL area, was constructed.
The volume of TSL
The discharge of the Tonle Sap River
The inflow from the floodplain to TSL
Past hydrological data for more than 20 years was reconstructed with multiple correlation analysis. Then, the three water budget terms listed above were estimated in the interested period by inputting this reconstructed hydrological data into each estimation method developed in (1).
The method developed in (1) was verified on the basis of recent data that include relatively large amount of data. The past hydrological data estimated in (2) were compared with the limited past observed data and showed good agreement. According to the estimation results, the storage volume of TSL did not change significantly during the period of interest. The values of the discharge of the Tonle Sap River did not seem to change substantially, either, in terms of annual maximum discharge or annual total discharge. In contrast, the inflow from the floodplain was found to have increased slightly in recent years than in previous years.